Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 23:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 20:29 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NEW YORK LIBERTY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T19:33:57.026Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:39:02.256Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:44:10.853Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:49:14.788Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:54:23.480Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:59:28.873Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:04:38.322Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:09:44.095Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:15:00.445Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:20:03.927Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:25:16.664Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:29:09.571Z | 43.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 5 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Liberty" if the New York Liberty win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.