LoL: Dark Passage vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 22:25 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 20:23 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DARK PASSAGE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T19:26:13.136Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T19:32:09.712Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T19:38:30.507Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T19:44:45.118Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T19:50:00.305Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T19:55:07.736Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T20:00:16.626Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T20:05:24.651Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T20:11:07.363Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T20:16:16.671Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T20:21:30.061Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T20:23:55.446Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Dark Passage and BoostGate Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dark Passage" if Dark Passage win Game 1 against BoostGate Esports. This market will resolve to "BoostGate Esports" if BoostGate Esports win Game 1 against Dark Passage. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.