Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 05:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 01:58 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM ENVY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T23:27:31.042Z | 4.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:32:36.535Z | 4.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:37:44.983Z | 3.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:43:35.351Z | 2.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:48:44.902Z | 5.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:53:50.779Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:59:01.030Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:04:05.113Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:09:13.661Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:14:20.684Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:19:26.430Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:24:36.238Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:29:45.221Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:34:57.962Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:40:15.030Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:45:22.294Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:50:31.260Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:55:39.032Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:00:47.069Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:05:51.295Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:11:03.833Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:16:06.480Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:21:13.193Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:26:22.910Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:31:27.212Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:36:36.971Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:41:53.001Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:46:55.372Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:51:56.920Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T01:58:03.189Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 6 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Envy" if Team Envy win Map 1 against NRG. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against Team Envy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.