Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 15:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 12:46 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
K27 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T10:57:49.125Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:02:58.635Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:13:14.351Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:23:28.836Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:28:33.223Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:38:48.236Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:48:57.754Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:59:15.138Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:09:28.908Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:14:37.684Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:24:52.733Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:35:07.910Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:45:19.807Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between K27 and Sinners in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 15, initially scheduled for August 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win Map 2 against Sinners. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 2 against K27. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.