Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 13:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 09:18 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM SPIRIT probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T08:20:28.719Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:25:34.405Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:30:39.184Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:35:55.679Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:41:00.599Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:46:24.894Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:51:30.030Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:56:42.101Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:01:48.228Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:06:55.199Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:11:59.673Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:17:09.913Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:18:05.144Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Spirit and Xtreme Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.