Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 23:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 20:02 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PARIVISION probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T17:22:02.579Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:27:07.818Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:33:05.645Z | 55.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:38:11.579Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:44:32.919Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:49:47.128Z | 85.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T17:55:05.888Z | 97.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:00:14.730Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:05:25.617Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:10:40.298Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:21:45.571Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:27:15.170Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:32:21.599Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:37:24.439Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:42:41.947Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:47:55.387Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:53:01.404Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:59:27.360Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:04:34.956Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:09:48.656Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:15:06.383Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:20:10.159Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:25:16.192Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:33:50.877Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:38:56.443Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:44:14.825Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:49:19.153Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:54:41.011Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:59:55.500Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:05:06.081Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and 100 Thieves in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.