Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 20:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 18:41 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
WALCZAKI probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T17:13:38.720Z | 57.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:18:44.961Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:23:49.460Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:28:55.450Z | 82.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:34:05.144Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:39:09.591Z | 79.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:44:21.792Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:49:30.484Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:54:36.443Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:59:39.868Z | 79.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:04:49.717Z | 88.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:10:02.416Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:15:04.472Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:20:14.150Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:25:27.035Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:30:28.746Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:35:35.587Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:40:40.649Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Walczaki and UNiTY esports in the CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 6 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win Map 2 against UNiTY esports. This market will resolve to "UNiTY esports" if UNiTY esports win Map 2 against Walczaki. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.