LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 16, 2026, 10:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
T1 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16T09:46:54.000Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T09:52:01.874Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T09:57:43.022Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T10:03:56.988Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T10:09:02.318Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T10:14:14.037Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.