Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 18:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 16:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ILBIRS ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T15:08:09.107Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:13:20.785Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:18:34.471Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:23:40.544Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:28:59.010Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:34:04.443Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:39:12.749Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:44:18.381Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:49:22.585Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:54:36.833Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:59:49.292Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:04:28.967Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Ilbirs eSports and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 10 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win Game 2 against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win Game 2 against Ilbirs eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.