Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Grêmio Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 05:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 11, 2026, 02:53 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ISURUS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11T00:42:53.495Z | 87.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T00:47:56.013Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T00:59:34.844Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:09:42.562Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:19:50.913Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:25:01.747Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:35:11.082Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:45:31.547Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T01:55:41.145Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:00:46.547Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:11:01.491Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:21:21.148Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:31:31.345Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:36:41.534Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T02:46:51.056Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Isurus and Grêmio Esports in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 10 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win Map 2 against Grêmio Esports. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Esports" if Grêmio Esports win Map 2 against Isurus. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.