LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 17:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 13:32 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GEN.G probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T10:51:21.533Z | 53.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:56:36.422Z | 53.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:01:47.574Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:06:59.469Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:12:33.564Z | 39.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:19:30.564Z | 73.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:24:38.367Z | 73.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:32:20.265Z | 32.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:37:30.615Z | 79.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:42:45.683Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:48:02.522Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:53:13.383Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:59:49.628Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:04:56.322Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:10:11.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:15:19.057Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:20:28.074Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:25:43.692Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:31:56.097Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:37:07.405Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:42:19.904Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:47:31.243Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T12:52:40.138Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:00:38.596Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:05:51.777Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:11:17.452Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:17:45.501Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:22:50.960Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:28:27.474Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:32:20.417Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.