Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 21:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 19:19 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
SPIRIT ACADEMY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T17:13:27.910Z | 8.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:23:33.679Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:33:53.306Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:39:05.102Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:49:17.056Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:59:27.950Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:09:42.092Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:14:54.238Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:25:09.549Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:35:19.264Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:45:25.058Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:55:41.212Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T19:00:50.926Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T19:11:06.910Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Spirit Academy and Level UP in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 9 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Game 2 against Level UP. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against Spirit Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.