Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 16, 2026, 24:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 20:33 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FUT ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T18:13:50.647Z | 84.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:18:54.234Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:23:58.729Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:31:02.127Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:51:18.591Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:57:28.464Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:02:40.660Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:07:47.462Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:13:08.805Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:18:28.738Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:23:36.754Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:30:45.851Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:35:57.178Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:41:14.654Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:46:35.505Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:51:44.015Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:57:12.371Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:02:15.405Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:07:23.752Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:12:38.671Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:17:46.011Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:22:52.301Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:28:01.759Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:33:06.134Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between FUT Esports and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 1 against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win Map 1 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.