Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 20:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 18:35 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NIGMA GALAXY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T15:52:47.687Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:58:03.826Z | 42.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:03:06.088Z | 32.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:25:05.986Z | 48.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:30:41.999Z | 12.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:37:56.667Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:43:03.584Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:48:11.531Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:53:21.139Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:58:26.082Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:03:36.277Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:11:22.730Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:18:56.767Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:26:07.787Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:31:12.458Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:38:29.738Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:43:36.799Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:48:50.703Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:53:53.751Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:59:09.845Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:04:14.416Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:11:24.796Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:18:38.016Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:24:10.914Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:29:24.165Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:34:36.392Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 30 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.