Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 23:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 19:55 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T17:51:34.265Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:56:41.990Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:01:43.952Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:07:59.908Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:15:26.628Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:22:05.243Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:27:10.812Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:32:23.056Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:37:47.709Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:42:52.822Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:47:57.296Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:53:03.018Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:58:07.620Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:03:12.550Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:12:03.331Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:17:10.551Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:23:16.930Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:28:17.622Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:33:22.625Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:39:24.185Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:44:48.034Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:50:00.328Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:55:12.450Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.