Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 06:40 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 04:45 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
REGAIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T02:52:56.510Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:58:20.407Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:03:26.901Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:23:36.176Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:29:13.318Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:36:46.624Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:42:09.868Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:47:49.268Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:56:36.224Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T04:06:23.820Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T04:11:43.080Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T04:34:43.455Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T04:39:50.875Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T04:45:37.885Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between regain and Chicken Coop Esports in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "regain" if regain win Map 2 against Chicken Coop Esports. This market will resolve to "Chicken Coop Esports" if Chicken Coop Esports win Map 2 against regain. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.