Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 05:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 03:29 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
100 THIEVES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T23:52:05.744Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:57:18.609Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:02:32.074Z | 62.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:12:25.263Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:17:46.523Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:23:23.490Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:28:29.435Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:33:46.921Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:38:54.524Z | 57.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:44:05.676Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:49:23.526Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:54:50.864Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:59:59.711Z | 66.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:11:27.668Z | 81.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:20:57.549Z | 83.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:26:17.948Z | 83.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:33:52.928Z | 95.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:57:48.926Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:02:53.612Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:14:35.240Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:25:25.203Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:34:28.381Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:39:43.894Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:44:57.896Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:50:31.995Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:56:08.017Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:01:31.501Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:23:22.047Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:29:21.618Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Sentinels in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Map 2 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.