Market Analysis
Back to markets
Sports · POLYMARKET · LIVE

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends: Aug 4, 2026, 22:40 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 20:29 UTC

VERDICTFAIR VALUE CALCULATING

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET TEXAS RANGERS 38.5%MARX FAIR TEXAS RANGERS -
TEXAS RANGERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0255075100
MARX FAIRFair Price is calculating. The line appears after data validation.
Jul 28, 04:44 PMJul 28, 05:40 PMJul 28, 06:36 PMJul 28, 07:33 PMJul 28, 08:29 PM UTC

TEXAS RANGERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-07-28T18:06:02.116Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:11:06.901Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:16:09.392Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:21:22.215Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:26:25.856Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:31:30.801Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:36:38.020Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:41:40.305Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:46:45.275Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:51:50.271Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T18:56:55.442Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:01:56.957Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:07:02.160Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:12:06.301Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:17:11.118Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:22:17.257Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:27:24.581Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:32:30.212Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:37:34.891Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:42:41.938Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:47:44.977Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:52:52.052Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T19:58:00.426Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T20:03:02.201Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T20:08:07.751Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T20:13:21.251Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T20:18:31.248Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T20:23:35.294Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T20:29:02.437Z38.5%-
2026-07-28T20:29:25.015Z38.5%-

FAIR PRICE CALCULATION

  • Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 28 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.