Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens
Ends: Sep 24, 2026, 16:00 UTCMarket data: Sep 18, 2026, 03:23 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PEYTON STEARNS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17T21:44:28.089Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-17T22:55:50.118Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-18T03:23:03.517Z | 58.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the tennis match between Peyton Stearns and Sloane Stephens in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peyton Stearns' if Peyton Stearns advances against Sloane Stephens. This market will resolve to 'Sloane Stephens' if Sloane Stephens advances against Peyton Stearns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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