Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 20:15 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 17:57 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GENONE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T15:30:14.194Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:35:18.927Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:40:44.454Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:45:49.690Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:50:53.145Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:55:57.705Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:01:03.181Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:06:07.407Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:11:13.039Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:16:21.746Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:21:28.022Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:26:33.042Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:31:38.406Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:36:43.411Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:41:48.297Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:46:53.143Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:51:56.937Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:56:58.618Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:02:09.496Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:07:25.682Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:12:30.664Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:17:41.451Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:22:46.254Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:27:51.160Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:33:00.346Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:38:03.251Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:43:21.693Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:48:32.058Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:53:44.549Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:57:07.902Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between GenOne and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 28 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GenOne" if GenOne win Map 1 against NEW VISION. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win Map 1 against GenOne. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.