Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 21:10 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 19:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PUCKCHAMP probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T16:44:07.674Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:49:15.425Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:54:17.684Z | 88.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:00:12.841Z | 95.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:06:27.462Z | 97.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:11:30.550Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:16:38.610Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:21:40.402Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:26:45.795Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:31:50.602Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:37:01.186Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:42:05.716Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:47:31.843Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:52:48.896Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:57:57.788Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:02:59.578Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:08:02.249Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:13:05.817Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:18:10.378Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:23:16.418Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:28:25.688Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:33:27.430Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:38:35.703Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:43:42.467Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:48:51.260Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:54:01.588Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T18:59:06.811Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:04:11.262Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:09:17.481Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PuckChamp and KW in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 28 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 2 against KW. This market will resolve to "KW" if KW win Game 2 against PuckChamp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.