LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 08:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KIWOOM DRX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T07:16:03.874Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:21:12.898Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:26:18.262Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:31:23.638Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:36:27.388Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:41:28.280Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:46:33.189Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:51:38.105Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:56:48.594Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:01:54.021Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:06:58.949Z | 29.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:12:03.575Z | 29.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:13:40.935Z | 29.5% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.