Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 05:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 02:07 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T00:06:23.833Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:11:29.465Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:22:10.262Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:32:28.210Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:42:38.304Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:47:41.567Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:57:48.576Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:07:57.177Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:18:18.270Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:28:33.753Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:33:38.346Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:43:48.619Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:53:56.705Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:04:01.202Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between BESTIA and METANOIA WOLVES in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 4 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 1 against METANOIA WOLVES. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win Map 1 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.