Back to markets
Politics · POLYMARKET · LIVE
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends: Nov 7, 2028, 24:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 06:13 UTC
VERDICTMARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
POLYMARKET YES 0.4%MARX FAIR YES -
MARX FAIRFresh Fair Price data is temporarily unavailable.
Jul 28, 05:14 PMJul 28, 08:29 PMJul 28, 11:43 PMJul 29, 02:58 AMJul 29, 06:13 AM UTC
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T03:46:36.669Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:51:37.404Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:56:40.443Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:01:42.401Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:06:44.091Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:11:47.501Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:16:52.746Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:21:54.235Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:26:57.384Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:32:02.611Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:37:11.598Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:42:12.486Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:47:17.446Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:52:21.510Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:57:23.392Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:02:26.726Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:07:27.441Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:12:31.593Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:17:32.907Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:22:37.028Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:27:37.759Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:32:42.354Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:37:44.317Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:42:49.187Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:47:53.348Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:52:58.070Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T05:58:16.131Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T06:03:22.919Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T06:08:26.890Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T06:13:28.679Z | 0.4% | - | — |
MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE
- The current analysis expired or its live market source is temporarily unavailable.
- Expired Fair Price, Edge, Confidence and Verdict are withheld by the server.
- No trade signal is generated until a fresh calculation completes.
Current data cannot be used safely for a trade signal.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.