Game Spread: Kwon (-1.5) vs Lajovic (+1.5)
Ends: Sep 1, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 26, 2026, 05:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KWON probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25T19:58:24.114Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-26T00:35:40.731Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-26T03:48:31.298Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-26T05:10:58.671Z | 44.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve to "Kwon" if Soon-Woo Kwon wins 1.5 or more total games than Dusan Lajovic in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lajovic". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.