Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 05:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 02:45 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T00:52:09.284Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:57:18.742Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:02:32.727Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:07:36.474Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:12:38.410Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:17:46.130Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:22:52.096Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:27:53.533Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:32:56.691Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:38:03.615Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:43:07.212Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:48:13.872Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:53:19.637Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:58:28.027Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:03:38.318Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:08:43.510Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:13:46.244Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:18:53.045Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:23:58.353Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:29:01.361Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:34:02.837Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:39:08.222Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:44:09.416Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:49:18.347Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between BESTIA and METANOIA WOLVES in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 4 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 2 against METANOIA WOLVES. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win Map 2 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.