Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 17:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MIBR probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T16:14:33.930Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:19:37.935Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:24:43.095Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:29:53.538Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:34:58.059Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:40:03.288Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:45:08.286Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:50:11.939Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:55:13.302Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:00:22.220Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:06:27.462Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:11:30.550Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MIBR and Fluxo W7M in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 28 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 1 against Fluxo W7M. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win Map 1 against MIBR. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.