LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 09:19 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
T1 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T07:00:13.586Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:05:18.752Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:10:22.274Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:15:27.630Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:20:33.144Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:25:37.020Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:30:42.386Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:35:50.492Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:41:00.005Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:46:14.147Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:51:20.662Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T07:56:28.366Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:01:33.943Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:06:37.518Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:11:44.458Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:16:53.958Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:21:58.806Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:26:59.949Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:32:05.540Z | 72.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:37:10.028Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:42:16.901Z | 72.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:47:20.187Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:52:24.574Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:57:33.240Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:02:41.230Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:07:49.785Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:12:59.563Z | 72.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:18:11.088Z | 72.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:19:19.794Z | 72.5% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.