Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 01:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 21:48 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T19:51:45.858Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:56:56.312Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:02:08.157Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:13:45.840Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:19:28.027Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:28:40.089Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:36:39.503Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:41:48.119Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:46:56.156Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:52:52.377Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:57:54.285Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:03:07.332Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:08:41.548Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:13:47.319Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:18:57.798Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:24:22.128Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:29:39.242Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:35:04.116Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:40:10.369Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:45:17.907Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:50:37.556Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and MOUZ in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.