Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 03:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 22:58 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
EVIL GENIUSES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T21:28:04.630Z | 55.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T22:58:26.075Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win Map 1 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Map 1 against Evil Geniuses. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.