LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 15:10 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 13:21 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM SECRET WHALES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T10:26:24.674Z | 94.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:31:32.682Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:36:42.922Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:41:53.079Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:47:00.005Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:54:42.742Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:59:58.378Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:06:34.974Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:12:28.371Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:18:10.604Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:26:23.833Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:31:32.581Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:39:29.083Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:44:57.665Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:55:55.071Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:02:49.248Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:12:14.794Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:17:29.640Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:24:27.104Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:29:40.164Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:34:58.024Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:40:42.360Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:48:31.653Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:55:42.736Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:00:58.095Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:06:41.563Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:12:06.576Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:17:33.473Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Team Secret Whales and MVK Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales win Game 2 against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 2 against Team Secret Whales. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.