Sao Paulo Open: Cadence Brace vs Solana Sierra
Ends: Sep 21, 2026, 17:30 UTCMarket data: Sep 16, 2026, 15:32 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
CADENCE BRACE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15T16:09:06.855Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-15T16:59:10.023Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-15T21:29:06.234Z | 34.0% | - | — |
| 2026-09-16T01:58:18.125Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-16T06:29:47.808Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-16T11:09:45.665Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-16T15:32:20.870Z | 33.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the tennis match between Cadence Brace and Solana Sierra in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cadence Brace' if Cadence Brace advances against Solana Sierra. This market will resolve to 'Solana Sierra' if Solana Sierra advances against Cadence Brace. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.