Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 19:40 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 17:53 UTCResult: 1WINResolved: Jul 31, 2026, 17:46 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
1WIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T15:56:39.138Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:01:45.679Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:13:45.322Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:22:53.814Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:28:43.860Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:34:30.607Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:40:08.389Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:45:42.582Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:56:24.544Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:02:27.742Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:11:33.022Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:17:53.836Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:25:26.676Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:32:31.404Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:38:33.049Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:43:49.304Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:48:57.390Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:53:23.549Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 31 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 2 against 1win. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.