Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 20:10 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 17:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
SPARTA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T15:52:49.334Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:58:05.449Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:03:17.856Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:25:00.064Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:32:15.605Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:38:09.729Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:47:01.435Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:52:10.428Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:57:14.307Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:02:17.404Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between SPARTA and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win Map 1 against NEW VISION. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win Map 1 against SPARTA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.