Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Ends: OpenMarket data: Aug 23, 2026, 19:06 UTCResult: YESResolved: Aug 23, 2026, 18:54 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T18:57:43.592Z | 14.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T23:56:02.656Z | 15.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T03:57:52.137Z | 15.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T08:59:36.709Z | 19.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:59:39.327Z | 18.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T17:58:28.147Z | 16.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T21:59:44.142Z | 16.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T02:58:23.677Z | 14.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T06:56:36.378Z | 15.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T11:59:15.873Z | 14.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T16:53:35.761Z | 14.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T20:59:56.631Z | 14.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T15:40:09.297Z | 15.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T17:57:19.639Z | 14.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T22:56:04.608Z | 14.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-20T02:57:55.691Z | 13.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-20T07:49:20.493Z | 14.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-20T12:43:45.353Z | 14.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-21T15:46:40.163Z | 18.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-21T19:46:14.828Z | 30.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T00:46:50.432Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T04:53:26.790Z | 48.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T09:56:35.152Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T13:54:45.481Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T18:41:41.358Z | 62.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T22:58:39.621Z | 77.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-23T03:30:10.171Z | 77.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-23T07:58:54.330Z | 75.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-23T12:21:22.311Z | 72.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-23T16:51:45.082Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Counter-Strike 2 tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), currently scheduled for August 12 – August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.