Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 18:45 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 16:56 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T10:27:38.527Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:32:42.700Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:38:18.581Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:43:37.035Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:48:52.407Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:56:33.092Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:01:43.228Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:13:29.740Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:21:29.113Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:28:42.692Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:34:07.422Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:40:08.602Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:45:40.341Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:56:24.841Z | 20.5% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 31, 2026 If Birmingham City wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.