LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 02:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 24:05 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MAZE GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04T22:22:10.399Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:27:16.041Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:32:26.336Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:37:31.590Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:42:36.417Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:47:46.002Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:52:51.408Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:57:56.293Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:03:01.255Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:08:07.076Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:13:10.312Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:18:16.625Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:37:57.825Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:43:02.037Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:48:08.949Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:53:49.141Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:58:57.141Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:04:03.257Z | 0.1% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Maze Gaming and Malvinas Gaming in the LRS Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Maze Gaming" if Maze Gaming win Game 1 against Malvinas Gaming. This market will resolve to "Malvinas Gaming" if Malvinas Gaming win Game 1 against Maze Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.