Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 24:25 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 21:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MIBR probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T19:06:51.363Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:11:58.360Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:17:07.898Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:22:14.028Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:27:24.926Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:32:33.516Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:37:39.479Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:42:47.396Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:47:58.600Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:53:09.290Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:58:25.178Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:03:28.751Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:09:16.331Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:14:30.356Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:19:46.302Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:24:55.873Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:29:59.481Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:35:05.356Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:40:14.871Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:45:19.217Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:51:03.361Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:56:18.018Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:01:24.872Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:10:40.388Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between MIBR and largadosypelados in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 1 against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win Map 1 against MIBR. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.