Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 15:30 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NO HOODWINK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T13:01:37.963Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:06:43.468Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:11:54.051Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:16:57.892Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:22:03.177Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:27:08.088Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:32:18.141Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:37:22.897Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:42:29.040Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:47:33.970Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:52:38.375Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:57:48.994Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:02:53.646Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:08:10.443Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:13:18.426Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:18:23.227Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:24:07.829Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:29:13.772Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:34:18.549Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:40:11.209Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:45:13.543Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:50:18.794Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:55:23.334Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:00:28.132Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:05:33.655Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:10:43.590Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:15:48.884Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:20:53.035Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:25:58.001Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:31:04.417Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between No Hoodwink and PuckChamp in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 28 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 1 against PuckChamp. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 1 against No Hoodwink. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.