Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 02:18 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T22:45:45.596Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T22:52:24.906Z | 70.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:12:23.061Z | 70.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:17:48.847Z | 71.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:31:43.415Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:38:30.780Z | 72.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:44:29.838Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:50:14.494Z | 73.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:55:30.856Z | 63.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:01:22.187Z | 64.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:11:05.981Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:16:53.516Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:24:17.063Z | 65.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:30:38.930Z | 65.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:38:03.852Z | 65.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:45:27.333Z | 65.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:51:10.396Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:56:36.226Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:02:54.055Z | 65.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:11:15.511Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:16:33.198Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:23:01.290Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:31:09.479Z | 65.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:41:14.365Z | 70.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:46:23.343Z | 71.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:53:31.500Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:58:39.497Z | 72.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:04:23.602Z | 72.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:14:15.312Z | 72.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:18:42.222Z | 72.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Liquid and Atputies in the Stake Pulse Beat I Group B, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 1 against Atputies. This market will resolve to "Atputies" if Atputies win Map 1 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.