LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 15:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
CTBC FLYING OYSTER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T08:25:14.441Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:31:21.598Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:42:38.408Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:47:46.217Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:54:51.070Z | 35.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:00:10.048Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:05:32.884Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:11:39.286Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:16:52.500Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:23:33.787Z | 36.5% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and GAM Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 31 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win Game 1 against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win Game 1 against CTBC Flying Oyster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.