LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 15:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 08:25 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
CTBC FLYING OYSTER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T05:11:19.588Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:17:04.463Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:25:16.224Z | 37.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:30:37.428Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:35:48.089Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:41:50.984Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:47:44.304Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:53:48.230Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T05:59:20.130Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:06:24.241Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:14:06.437Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:19:33.287Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:27:08.071Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:37:07.218Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:42:33.927Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:48:09.704Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T06:56:24.667Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:02:05.023Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:07:24.080Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:18:57.979Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:25:09.678Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:31:00.026Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:44:34.459Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:49:58.940Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:55:12.414Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:00:24.342Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:05:30.865Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:16:00.586Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:25:14.441Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:25:21.781Z | 36.5% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and GAM Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 31 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win Game 1 against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win Game 1 against CTBC Flying Oyster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.