Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 13:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 11:09 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BETBOOM TEAM probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T05:59:56.991Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:05:02.991Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:11:13.982Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:19:26.080Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:25:15.963Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:30:28.467Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:35:37.687Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:47:53.126Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:54:57.832Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:56:04.426Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:01:35.270Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:08:14.041Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:17:14.238Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:24:29.103Z | 83.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:30:26.094Z | 64.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:36:01.030Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:41:56.059Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:47:04.608Z | 36.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:55:30.801Z | 42.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:01:38.955Z | 62.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:10:02.655Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:15:43.035Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:26:55.878Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:32:50.800Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:38:37.388Z | 99.8% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:44:07.772Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:49:29.382Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:55:39.888Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:01:02.969Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:10:02.166Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between BetBoom Team and LGD Gaming in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for August 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against BetBoom Team. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.