Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 14:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 12:01 UTCResult: TRACE ESPORTSResolved: Aug 5, 2026, 11:57 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TRACE ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T01:07:11.922Z | 75.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T04:07:16.626Z | 74.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T08:01:07.751Z | 75.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Trace Esports and A Team in the VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Trace Esports" if Trace Esports win the match against A Team. This market will resolve to "A Team" if A Team win the match against Trace Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.