LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 14:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 12:38 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DN SOOPERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T10:08:48.153Z | 27.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:13:52.269Z | 27.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:18:55.408Z | 29.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:24:05.694Z | 29.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:29:07.235Z | 29.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:34:12.732Z | 28.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:39:30.783Z | 28.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:44:32.132Z | 28.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:49:37.696Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:54:59.314Z | 28.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:00:12.994Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:05:18.171Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:10:22.400Z | 16.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:15:27.771Z | 5.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:20:32.371Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:25:52.465Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:30:57.530Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:35:59.310Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:41:52.103Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:46:59.936Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:52:02.780Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:57:07.507Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:02:12.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:07:17.825Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:12:22.996Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:17:28.253Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:22:32.237Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:27:35.449Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:32:43.112Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:38:20.237Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between DN SOOPers and HANJIN BRION in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.