Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 05:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 02:28 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
100 THIEVES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T23:52:04.804Z | 87.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:57:19.008Z | 66.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:02:31.205Z | 53.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:12:24.981Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:17:40.240Z | 59.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:23:23.745Z | 55.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:28:28.770Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:33:33.325Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:38:38.443Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:43:50.827Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:48:54.986Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:54:02.418Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:59:13.098Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:04:39.057Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:12:17.715Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:20:57.156Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:26:12.095Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:33:44.600Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:57:48.553Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:02:51.562Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:14:36.599Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:25:24.662Z | 0.1% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Sentinels in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.