Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch
Ends: Jan 1, 2028, 05:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 01:20 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04T21:58:48.029Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T22:14:02.041Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-04T23:15:42.867Z | 97.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T00:19:28.693Z | 97.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T01:20:39.745Z | 98.2% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.