LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 09:37 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GEN.G probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T06:56:29.706Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:02:05.023Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:07:24.080Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:18:57.979Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:25:09.678Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:31:00.026Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:44:34.459Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:49:58.940Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T07:55:12.414Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:00:24.342Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:05:30.864Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:16:00.586Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:25:14.441Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:31:21.598Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:42:38.408Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:47:46.217Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T08:54:51.070Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:00:10.048Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:05:32.884Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:11:39.286Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:16:52.500Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:23:33.787Z | 82.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:28:52.369Z | 88.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:34:07.296Z | 88.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T09:37:09.382Z | 88.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.