Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 21:10 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 17:57 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PUCKCHAMP probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T16:14:33.806Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:19:36.048Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:24:41.278Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:29:52.210Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:34:56.598Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:40:01.840Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:45:06.673Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:50:11.763Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:55:16.824Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:00:22.258Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:06:25.678Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:11:29.373Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:16:37.572Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:21:39.274Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:26:44.734Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:31:49.501Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:37:01.184Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:42:05.042Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:47:29.367Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:52:48.026Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:57:56.238Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PuckChamp and KW in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 28 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 1 against KW. This market will resolve to "KW" if KW win Game 1 against PuckChamp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.