LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 15:10 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 13:27 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM SECRET WHALES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T10:34:04.513Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:39:13.932Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:44:21.230Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:50:22.525Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:55:44.990Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:01:55.285Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:08:29.016Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:13:51.275Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:22:52.109Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:31:00.980Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:37:39.094Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:43:17.906Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:48:35.402Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:53:58.288Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:59:09.249Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:04:18.173Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:10:19.531Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:16:11.602Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:22:23.142Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:28:04.894Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:33:16.942Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:38:40.651Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:43:51.100Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:49:19.231Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:55:31.491Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:00:54.544Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:06:16.335Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:12:15.375Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:17:31.126Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:27:20.390Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Team Secret Whales and MVK Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales win Game 1 against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against Team Secret Whales. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.